Country A's Population Growth Outpaces Country B

Answered using GPT-4o mini by AI Answer Generator

Question:

Women in two developed countries have identical total fertility rates of 3.5. However, women in country A typically have their children about 2 years earlier than women in country B. How will the populations of the two countries compare?

The population of country A will increase faster than that of country B. The population of country A will increase, but the population of country B will decline. The population of country B will increase faster than that of country A. The populations of both countries will be stable, with similar totals and little increase or decrease.

Answer:

To analyze the population growth of the two countries, we need to consider the total fertility rate (TFR) and the timing of childbirth.

Both countries have a TFR of 3.5, which indicates that, on average, women in both countries are having enough children to replace the population. However, the key difference is that women in country A have their children about 2 years earlier than women in country B.

Having children earlier can lead to several demographic advantages:

  1. Longer Reproductive Window: Women in country A may have more children over their reproductive years because they start having children earlier. This can lead to a higher number of births over time, even if the TFR is the same.

  2. Population Momentum: If women in country A are having children earlier, they may also contribute to a larger base of the population in the younger age groups, which can lead to a faster population growth rate.

Given these factors, we can conclude that:

  • The population of country A will likely increase faster than that of country B due to the earlier age of childbirth, which allows for more births over the same period.

Therefore, the correct answer is:

The population of country A will increase faster than that of country B.